Hurricane Predictions for 2009 with Latest Updates + Watch and Warnings
Due to overwhelming repose to the general article about Hurricanes in Cuba, I have decided to create a page entirely dedicated to hurricane predictions for 2009. This page will contain latest updates and will include hurricane watch and warnings for 2009. Please visit this page regularly to get latest updates as hurricane situation can change anytime. Several aspects that could lead to creation of a hurricane are monitored and analyzed by meteorological stations and hurricane watch dedicated groups worldwide. Their data will be collected and presented to you with regular updates on this page. If you’re planning to visit Cuba or another country in the Caribbean, information and warnings provided within could help you determine chances of having a peaceful, hurricane free vacation.
Hurricane Predictions for 2009
Please note that predictions are just that – predictions. While utmost care will be taken to provide accurate and up to date information, there is no way I could forecast the occurrence of a hurricane in any given day, week or month of the 2009 with 100% accuracy. If you are visiting Cuba or elsewhere in the Caribbean anytime between June 1st and November 30th, chances of encountering a hurricane exist. Nobody can guarantee you that you will have an entirely hurricane free vacation. But it can easily be hurricane free. These freaks of natures are not under control of men and this page will strictly focus on providing information collected from reliable sources to help you determine your chances of having a hurricane during your trip. If you want to be 100% safe, reschedule your trip so it takes place anytime between December 1st and May 30th. Hurricanes can form quickly and strike the area within days.
Hurricanes Names
When a storm is bad enough or reaches the magnitude of a hurricane, it is given a name. Names for the hurricanes for each particular year are predetermined up front by the World Meteorological Organization. There are six lists of names each used once every six years and each contains names starting with one letter of the alphabet. So first storm that is named in that given year would be given a name from current list starting with letter A, second storm would get a name starting with letter B, and so on. Sometimes a name is removed from a list and is never used again – this happens when a hurricane is remarkably destructive. For example Hurricane Katrina from 2005 was so devastating that no other hurricane will be given that name. Six years from 2005, when the list which formerly contained name Katrina is used for naming the hurricanes again, there will be no Katrina on it. Instead Katrina has been replaced with a new name starting with letter K – Katia.
Hurricanes 2008 Recapitulation
2008 was a bad year for the hurricanes. 16 named tropical storms formed in the Atlantic and another 16 in the Eastern Pacific. Tropical Storm Arthur started off the hurricane season on May 30 and claimed lives of 5 people. Belize suffered damages exceeding $78 million as result of this tropical storm. Hurricane Paloma then closed the hurricane season by being the last named hurricane of 2008. When Paloma reached Cuba, it was a Category 4 Hurricane, making it the second most destructive hurricane ever recorded in November.
2008 also holds the record for the longest lived tropical storm in the Atlantic ever – Hurricane Bertha. Four of the hurricanes that struck in 2008 were deadly enough to have their names retired – Alma, Gustav (hit US state Louisiana, killed 112 people, most of them in Haiti), Ike (most devastating hurricane of 2008), and Paloma (devastated Cuba in November).
Hurricane Outlooks for 2009
National Hurricane Centre predicts that 2009 will see more “normal” summer as far as hurricanes are involved. Predicted numbers of tropical storms which will be given names in 2009 is lower than what we have seen in past 5 years. Good news is that there hasn’t been any major tropical storm related disaster in 2009 so far but August and September, two months when hurricane activity reaches its peak are yet to come.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States Department of Commerce predicts that in 2009 there is a 70% chance of the following:
- Named Storms: 9-14
- Hurricanes: 4-7
- Major Hurricanes: 1-3
Colorado State University narrowed down these predictions to specific numbers, rather than ranges of numbers and predicts that 2009 will experience the following:
- Named Storms: 12
- Hurricanes: 6
- Major Hurricanes: 2
So far there has been only one named storm in 2009. Usually by this time of year there would be at least three named storms. Hurricane Andres formed in Eastern Pacific (on the western shores of Mexico, hence far away from Cuba or any other Caribbean country) on June 21, 2009 and dissipated on June 24, 2009 by which time the winds reached speed of 75 mph. One person died as result of Hurricane Andres – Mexican fisherman from Tecpán de Galeana, in southern Mexican state of Guerrero drowned after he was engulfed by waves.
All in all, 2009 hurricane season is off to a very slow start. Especially in the Caribbean so all visitors to Cuba have been safe from hurricanes so far. Hopefully this will not mean that the hurricanes which are yet to come will make up for it. Rather let’s hope the rest of 2009 continues in the safe fashion as the beginning of hurricane season so we can all enjoy our vacations without mayhem.
Latest Hurricane Update: July 23, 2009
There is currently no hurricane watch and no warnings. The area of the Atlantic north and north-east of the Bahamas is currently engulfed in disorganized cloudiness with thunderstorms. There is a very small chance – less than 30% of this system becoming a tropical or subtropical storm. There are no signs of a surface circulation and conditions are likely to make developments of this disturbance less favorable.
Hurricane Watch and Warnings for the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico as of July 23, 2009:
There are no tropical cyclones in this area at this time.
Hurricane Watch and Warnings for the Eastern Pacific Ocean as of July 23, 2009:
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
Latest Hurricane Update: July 24, 2009
There was only a very, very small chance of that mini disturbance north of the Bahamas developing into something more serious, but likelihood of it going away within 24 hours seemed far more likely. It’s now 24 hours later and the cloudiness dissipated leaving entire area completely free of any chance of developing into a cyclone. The prediction for following 48 hours? No tropical cyclone activity is expected.
Both Atlantic and Eastern Pacific are free from any formations that have a chance of developing into a tropical storm. Everyone who’s vacationing in the Caribbean right now is enjoying beautiful weather. There are some clouds over Cuba, but Dominican Republic has cloudless sky and so does most of the rest of the Caribbean. Western shores of Central America are experiencing beautiful weather as well with occasional clouds shielding the summer sun, but otherwise nice and hot all over the place. There are no indications of any storm activity within next 48 hours anywhere in the region. Enjoy beautiful weather if you’re on a vacation right now.
Latest Hurricane Update: July 25, 2009
I can’t believe I’m in Canada writing this. Entire Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, Atlantic as well as Eastern Pacific are cloudless with beautiful sunny weather and absolutely no signs of cyclone activity forming in next 48 hours (remember, you can’t predict hurricane activity for more than 48 hours in advance. A Hurricane could form within 48 hours from nothing, hence predictions further ahead of a 48 hour period are just guesses). All of you who are in the Caribbean are having time of their life while I’m stuck here in (albeit also hot and sunny) Canada. Beautiful weather in Cuba as well as the clouds cleared up leaving clear, sunny skies above everyone’s heads. Great timing on your part if your vacation is taking place in the Caribbean right now. Enjoy the best weather ever.
Latest Hurricane Update: July 26, 2009
Gorgeous weather in the Caribbean continues. It’s sunny all over the place with no clouds obstructing the sun on most islands. Cuba is entirely cloudless, so are Dominican Republic, Haiti, Most islands of the Bahamas have clear skies with only a couple in north west having clouds (Grand Bahamas, Nassau, Andros, Little Abaco, Great Abaco), Jamaica has clear, sunny skies, Turks and Caicos have clear skies, Puerto Rico completely clear, US Virgin Islands and British Virgin Islands have clear skies, the following small islands are all cloudless: Cayman Islands, Anguilla, Yieques and Culebra, St. Martin, St. Bart’s, Barbuda, Antigua, Saba, St. Kitts and Nevis, Montserat, Guadeloupe, Marie Galante, Dominica, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent, Bequia, Barbados, Aruba, Curacao, Bonaire, Tortuga, Blanquilla and Margarita. There are a few scattered clouds on following islands in the south eastern corner of the Caribbean: Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago.
The weather is awesomely tropical with no signs of any disturbances. Tropical cyclones are NOT expected anywhere in the area in next 48 hours (includes both Atlantic and Eastern Pacific sides of Central America). This is perfect holiday weather and it will stay this way for at least following few days. I will provide latest update when it changes. Enjoy beautiful weather if you’re in the Caribbean.
Latest Hurricane Update: July 29, 2009
All countries in the Caribbean continue to experience beautiful weather with predominantly clear skies at any given time of day. No weather disturbances, no signs of any cyclones or hurricanes and none are expected to form in the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific had two stormy areas one at the south-western corner of Mexian Baja Peninsula and one about 1000 km from the shore further into the Pacific Ocean. These was a very small chance (less than 30%) of these forming into a tropical cyclone but conditions were more favorable towards dissipation which is exactly what occurred a few hours later. At present time these disturbances diminished so the area is considered clear with no tropical cyclones expected in the next 48 hours. Weather in the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and The North Atlantic is much nicer than in Eastern Pacific. All people vacationing on the Caribbean islands are for the win. West Coast of Mexico, not so much. Both sides free from hurricanes with no warnings and predictions that it’ll stay that way for a minimum of the following two days.
Latest Hurricane Update: July 31, 2009 – Tropical Storm LANA
Tropical Storm Lana Public Advisory #5 has been issued for the Central Pacific. Lana has formed south of Hawaii after thunderstorms that formed 1,045 miles south east of Hilo strengthened and reached sustained winds of 40 mph. Lana is currently moving westwards and will probably miss Hawaii, even though some areas on the south may experience heavy rain.
Caribbean as well as Eastern Pacific remain free from warnings. Beautiful weather continues and no tropical cyclones are expected in the next 48 hours.
Latest Hurricane Update: August 03, 2009 – Tropical Storm ENRIQUE
Tropical Storm Enrique Public Advisory #2 has been issued for the Eastern Pacific. Enrique has formed west of Mexico to become the fifth named storm of the 2009 hurricane season in the area. Tropical Storm Enrique is currently about 715 miles south-west of the Baja California peninsula and is moving away from the land at speed of 14 miles per hour so it may not affect inhabited areas. The tropical storm reached sustained winds of 40 miles per hour which qualified Enrique to obtain this name.
A little further into the sea, about 1,135 miles south-west of Mexico’s Baja California, another depression has formed earlier today. It is only known as Tropical Depression Eight-E and has sustained winds of 35 miles per hour. It is expected to strengthen in which case it will be upgraded to a Tropical Storm and will be given the name.
Entire Caribbean is free from hurricanes, cyclones or tropical storms. Beautiful weather continues and no cyclone formation is expected in the next 48 hours. It’s just plain fabulous in the Caribbean right now.
Latest Hurricane Update: August 07, 2009 – Hurricane FELICIA
Tropical Storm Enrique that formed several hundred miles off the western coast of Mexico weakened and dissipated. It is no longer classified as tropical storm and there are no more warnings or advisories regarding Enrique. It formed far away from land and only moved within the Pacific Ocean, hence no material damages or life loses.
In the meantime, a Hurricane formed 1200 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. Named Hurricane Felicia, during its peak reached sustained winds of over 139 miles per hour. Ravaging hurricane, but luckily for people of Hawaii it stayed in the ocean and weakened. The winds of Hurricane Felicia are currently reaching sustained speed of 100 miles per hour and are expected to further weaken. National Hurricane Centre forecasts that Hurricane Felicia will be downgraded to Tropical Storm within 24 to 48 hours. Given its itinerary, speed and direction, it is expected that Felicia will reach Big Island of Hawaii and will affect the area on Monday and Tuesday next week. By that time it will be further downgraded to a Tropical Depression. As it turns out, Big Island is experiencing severe drought so they are actually looking forward to some rain. Vacationers currently in Hawaii may not be as impressed, though.
As for the Caribbean – Cuba and other islands of this part of the Atlantic, including Gulf of Mexico remain Hurricane free. No signs of any hurricanes and none are expected in next 48 hours. So far it’s been perfect summer in Cuba and it will remain so for at least next few days. Gorgeous weather, lots of sun, only occasional cloud that clears up quickly – what a beautiful summer. Keep enjoying it. No tropical cyclones are expected in the next 48 hours.
Latest Hurricane Update: August 07, 2009 – Hurricane Bill, Hurricane Ana, Hurricane Claudette
2009 hurricane season was off to a very, very slow start but it was only a question of time before first hurricane hits the shores of Caribbean islands. August and September are the worst months for hurricanes and given that we’re in the middle of August, one good hurricane is overdue. And here they come. Tropical Depression Ana is just south east of the Dominican Republic and is moving north west – towards Cuba, Jamaica, Haiti, The Bahamas and other small islands in that area. The winds of Ana currently reach sustained speed of 30 mph.
Hurricane Bill is currently far away from the land – just between the Caribbean Sea and African continent. Bill is heading west towards the Caribbean and has winds with sustained speed of 90 mph.
Tropical Depression Claudette has reached the US mainland and is weakening. Final advisory has been issued, floods are expected.
In order to provide better and more organized hurricane updates, I have started a website that will be entirely dedicated to hurricane predictions and warnings. It will contain more information on each weather disturbance and each will have its page for better navigability and searchability. Please go to Caribbean Hurricane Belo [dot] com for latest hurricane news. I will be updating that site, instead of this page so Cuba Tourism website can remain about Cuba. Thank you for your understanding 
Mark
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July 28th, 2009 at 3:42 pm
Thanks for the great info. Dave
July 31st, 2009 at 10:53 am
Thanks for the updates. how far out can any hurricanes be detected? 2 weeks?
July 31st, 2009 at 11:12 am
Hi Marty,
Hurricane predictions are not usually made for more than 48 hours. A hurricane can form in two days out of nothing. It could start as a simple thunderstorm which strengthens within a day and once it reaches sustained winds of at least 39 miles per hour (sustained means that the wind of this strength must last for at least one minute) then it is considered a tropical storm and it’s given a name. Once such disturbance is formed, it is usually possible to analyze which way it is moving and at what speed. If it is moving towards inhabited land, it may be possible to predict when it will reach the area with several days in advance. So it always depends. Sometimes you get two weeks notice, sometimes only two.
Mark
August 16th, 2009 at 1:23 pm
Thank You for this site and great information Mark…We have been in Saint-Lucia in March 09…we liked it so much that we booked again for October 8th 09…2 weeks this time…not even thinking of the weather…but will keep a watch on it…Thank’s again…
August 17th, 2009 at 7:18 am
i’m looking to book a trip to the bahamas from 9/10 – 9/14, what is the probability of a hurricane occuring during that time frame? thanks for asy info/advice you can give me…
August 17th, 2009 at 8:49 am
Hello Steven,
As you probably realize, chances of a hurricane in September in the Caribbean are higher than in any other month of the year. That doesn’t necessarily mean there will be one particularly in The Bahamas on your particular dates. It is hard to predict a hurricane this far in advance. September is really high season for the hurricanes so keep that in mind. I will be updating CaribbeanHurricaneBelt.com regularly so just keep an eye on updates there as it will become clearer whether you will have a hurricane or not as time goes by. That’s the best I can advise at the moment. It takes 48 hours for a hurricane to form out of nothing. However it usually forms in the middle of the ocean and moves at a certain speed in a certain direction so we can predict quite accurately when and where it’ll strike. Magnitude of the hit can also be predicted but again, your vacation is still too far away to tell at this point.
Mark
August 26th, 2009 at 5:30 am
hi , firstly thanks for spending the time to do this very helpful website.. i am going to cuba with my 10 month old daughter and was just wondering if it is safe to go at this time or if we are likely to have rain constantly from the tail end of hurricaines (if not have a hurricaine).
thanks
sarah
September 5th, 2009 at 9:15 am
Hi,
Thanks for this updates,really helpful…We are planing to go in September for the first time in Cuba,in Varadero…we hope that everything will be OK.We’ll keep our eyes on this site for sure.
How is usually the weather in September in Cuba?Thanks!
Ali
September 5th, 2009 at 6:09 pm
Hello Ali,
September is historically the worst month for the hurricanes. Hope for the best, but prepare for the possibility that you could get hit. However chances are fair your vacation will go without a hurricane. While September always has lots of hurricanes, there may not be one on your exact days. And then even if there is a hurricane in the Caribbean on the days you are in Cuba, it’s projected path may be far away from Varadero so you will either not get affected at all, or at worse will experience some rainfall.
But any of this is difficult to day. Hurricane Jimena which hit Mexico a few days ago formed out of innocent Tropical Depression to Category 4 hurricane in just 36 hours. Tropical Depression is mostly a disorganized gathering of rain clouds. Category 4 hurricane is an extremely devastating force. Winds of category 4 hurricanes reach sustained speed of 135 mph. Jimena formed into such massive force within a span of less than two days. Hence it is impossible to predict whether you will have any hurricanes during your stay in Cuba or not. They could take a very short time to form.
Good news is that hurricanes form on the seas and oftentimes remain above open water during their most powerful phrase. By the time they’ve reached the land, hurricanes would have weakened. They are also expected since we’re able to see current location of the hurricane as well as which direction and at what speed it is moving. So while there is only a very short notice before a hurricane forms, there are usually several days before it makes landfall.
Mark
September 7th, 2009 at 6:20 am
Thanks Mark.
Good to know and be informed.
Ali.
September 7th, 2009 at 8:03 am
hi we are planning on going to cuba, varadero 0n the 9th of october,what are the chances of hurricanes in october ? tried researching recent years to see if there was a scale chart to show hurricane activity withtin that region but had no luck
sarah
September 18th, 2009 at 9:56 am
Hello Mark this is great that you take the time to do this, we are looking at booking Cuba Valdero Oct 19th, hoping and praying we get good weather, any thoughts, I have checked out bunch of other sites but got notning
Dennis
September 18th, 2009 at 10:49 am
hiya Dennis again just added the notify me by email option thanks
September 22nd, 2009 at 5:19 am
http://www.stormpulse.com
September 22nd, 2009 at 7:50 am
Hi i am traveling to cuba on the 20th october have you an update on hurricanes
September 22nd, 2009 at 7:51 am
Hi i am going to cuba on 20th October can you tell me if we are likely to have a hurricane
September 23rd, 2009 at 4:21 pm
Hi, Mark, I’m hoping to make a trip to Puerto Rico with my 86 year old husband whose parents were born there. He has never seen the island. I’m hoping to avoid the very expensive season by going in October, but I don’t even know what a hurricane might be like if suddenly there was one there. Would we just be hotel bound because of severe rain? We don’t usually go to beaches but like to listen to music in the evening, so we’d be mainly inside. Or, might we be blown off of our feet even crossing the street? If we were flying into Puerto Rico in a hurricane would there be extreme turbulence? Or, would the plane just not fly?
You’ve said September is high hurricane season, but what about mid-October? Or, should we just pay the higher rates and go at a milder time of year, do you think…and, when is hurricane season pretty much over in P.R.? Thanks, Dolores
September 24th, 2009 at 4:12 am
Hello Dolores,
October is still safely within the Hurricane season and Puerto Rico is right in the middle of the Caribbean Hurricane Belt. While hurricane activity in October is not as frequent and as severe as in August or September, you can’t assume you will be fine. That also however doesn’t mean there will be a hurricane during your visit.
Most hotels are built hurricane proof so you should be fine staying in if a hurricane strikes. The closer to shore you are, the stronger the impact of the hurricane. As you probably know, hurricane flourish over warm ocean waters, but diminish over land. Once a hurricane makes landfall, no matter how strong, it will be gradually losing its strength until it eventually disperses.
There will be no flights to the area when there is a hurricane. Your agency should offer you an alternative date if your scheduled departure or arrival is on a day there is a hurricane. Planes can fly above hurricanes, which would offer impressive views similar to satellite hurricane photographs, but no plane can possibly land or take off with winds this strong. And yes, Category 2 hurricane could easily throw a grown man across the street. Most deaths associated with hurricanes are not because of strong winds, though. If people die during the hurricane, it’s because of giant waves a hurricane causes, or mudslides.
Please note, there is no way anyone could possible tell you whether you will be fine in October or not. A hurricane can form out of nothing and grow to a Category 3 hurricane in 36 hours. One can only predict a hurricane up to 48 hours in advance. Anything more than that would be a mere guess or a speculation. When conditions for formation of a hurricane are favourable, it is possible to tell within 48 hours of formation. Good news is that hurricanes need warm water to form, so they always form above the ocean. Once a hurricane forms, it is possible to track which way it’s moving and how fast. This way it’s possible to predict when and where it would make a landfall. That typically means several days notice for affected areas.
It’s too early to tell whether your trip will be safe. Hope it all works out for you.
Mark
September 25th, 2009 at 8:36 am
I am planing a trip to Cuba October 23 prices are very cheap but I’d like to know the chance percentage wise if a hurrican happening so I can see if its worth it.
September 26th, 2009 at 6:31 am
Hello,
I have the same question as Diana… I am planning a trip to Varedero Cuba October 24th-November 1st. What are the chances percentage wise of a hurricane during that time? Is it safe to travel there?
Thank you!
September 27th, 2009 at 6:45 pm
Hi! Great information. I was thinking of of travelling to Cuba Oct. 2-9 2009. What’s the chances of a Hurricane forming at this time.Please reply. Thanks
September 27th, 2009 at 7:05 pm
Mark, thank you for responding in such details. You have made the situation pretty clear to me. I think I’ll pay more and travel in November or later since my husband is in a wheel chair. Yours is a valuable service. Dolores
September 27th, 2009 at 8:55 pm
To everyone who’s asking what their chances are for a hurricane on a particular date:
If you are travelling anytime between beginning of May till the end of November, your chances are 50%. It means there is a very good chance you will have a hurricane, but there also is a good chance there will be none. If you want to know less broad hurricane prediction, please enquire no more than 48 hours prior to departure. No one can reliably predict a hurricane more than 48 hours in advance.
Mark
September 29th, 2009 at 5:01 am
People,
Mark is not a psychic and as he stated no one can predict hurricanes forming a month from now. I just came back from a two week trip to Cuba in a high risk month and the weather was fine. Don’t worry about things you can’t control and try and enjoy your trip. There is a reason you are getting these fantastic prices for your holiday, if you’d rather not take the chance then pay double and go in January.
Marty
September 30th, 2009 at 5:20 am
Hi, im really scared about a hurricane coming in october 2009 when I am in cuba.
October 1st, 2009 at 5:24 am
Thanks Marty, appreciate your help
)
There truly is no need to worry for the most part. Most people travelling to the Caribbean during hurricane season experience no problems. For one, there may not be a hurricane on your particular dates and secondly, even if there is one, it may not affect the area where you are staying.
Not all hurricanes make a landfall. Some dissipate on the seas without affecting any populated areas. Others do make a landfall, but it could be far away from Cuba or wherever else you are travelling.
There is always a little bit of risk when you’re heading to the Caribbean during hurricane season, but it doesn’t mean you will have crappy holidays. It may actually turn out awesome and you will save up cause prices are lower and interesting places are not overrun by tourists so you will have a lot of it for yourself.
Mark
October 21st, 2009 at 10:15 am
We are thinking of going to Varedero Cuba the 1st week of November. Is there any bad weather expected.
Joanne
October 21st, 2009 at 2:22 pm
Going to Varadero 23rd October.We have seen some thunderstorms and rain forecasted.Any risk of hurricans? Feeling a bit uneasy.Thanks
October 29th, 2009 at 12:12 pm
Hello,
Going to Varedero from Nov. 5-12. Reading about hurricane predictions and forecasts. So far have noted rain possibilities during the first couple days I am there.
Any other news available in terms of weather or hurricane warnings?
Thank you.
November 26th, 2009 at 3:18 pm
Hi
Thinking of going to Varedero Dec-16
What kind of weather should we expect?
Is the hurricane season over?
Thanks
November 26th, 2009 at 3:23 pm
Hurricane season is from beginning of June until end of November if I’m not mistaken
March 27th, 2010 at 10:40 am
what about june 2010?
April 13th, 2010 at 7:26 pm
My dauther is getting married in Varedero Cuba on the 30th of Nov 2010 alot of the people going to the wedding are worried that it is still hurricane season is that true
Thank you
April 23rd, 2010 at 3:30 am
Visiting Varadero August 2010 is it too early to predict if this year will be a bad one for hurricanes. Thanks
May 11th, 2010 at 8:46 am
HI THERE IWAS WONDERING IF YOU WOULD KNOW WHAT THE WEATHER FOR CUBA HAS BEEN LIKE IN THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS AT CHRISTMAS TIME……..WE WERE THER LAST YEAR AND IT WAS VERY COLD…..PLEASE HELP…THANKS
May 11th, 2010 at 8:59 am
Hello Barb,
it’s hard to respond to someone who types all in caps (an online equivalent of yelling) but I have been to Cuba during Christmas season and didn’t find it that cold. There were windy evenings during which it felt chilly to sit outside in a t-shirt, but days were always nice and pleasantly hot (meaning not scorching hot, but nice warm). The temperatures stayed in the 25 – 28 Degrees Celsius range which was enjoyable.
It is true that most Cubans consider weather in December “cold” so you won’t see many (if any) of them swimming in the sea. It’s cold for them, but coming from Canada, it was enjoyable for me.
Being an adventurer, I appreciate December weather better than August one. There is not much you can do when it’s too hot. Any physical activities, such as hiking are extremely difficult in summer. So even though December may not be super hot, it is warm yet not too hot for actively spent holidays.
Mark
July 14th, 2010 at 11:38 am
Hello there,
I was just wondering if there were any predictions of how the weather will be from late August through September? And if you had any, when would be the best time to go to Varadero for a week within this period of time?
September 12th, 2010 at 3:54 am
Hello we go out on 22nd am super excited but again just asking if any predicted hurricanes or knowledge around weather situation from 22nd Sep for 11 days? Even if the weather is bad it will be very exciting and I’m sure lots to do still! Thanks
September 23rd, 2010 at 3:30 pm
Hello,
Thanks for taking the time to write back to everyone!!
We are looking at a carribean vacation around early to mid October. I know its Huricane season I was just wondering if any parts are better or safer then others. For example would Puerto Vallarta be safer then Cuba?
We are travelling with two young children so I am just weighing out our options.
Thank you for your time,
Jacelyn
September 23rd, 2010 at 9:35 pm
Hello Jace,
no, Puerto Vallarta is not safer than Cuba. In order to be in a safer spot, you’d have to go to Aruba or Curacao, which are the Caribbean islands near South American continent and are outside of the Caribbean Hurricane Belt. Any island or town that’s within the Caribbean Hurricane Belt faces a potential risk of being struck by a hurricane during hurricane season.
October is a very low season month so you should be able to score a well priced vacation. There are no guarantees of good weather though and you will certainly take chances of being hit by a hurricane, however consider this:
Caribbean is quite a large area. First of all, there may not be a hurricane during the time of your visit and secondly, even if there is one, its itinerary may be such that it won’t affect Cuba. The number of people who vacation in Cuba (or elsewhere in the Caribbean) during the hurricane season and enjoy a beautiful, tropical vacation is far greater than the number of those who have a misfortune of having their vacation busted by a hurricane.
The only way to be safe would be to postpone your trip and go between December and April, however, even if you do go during the hurricane season, it doesn’t mean you will experience a hurricane during your stay.
Mark
September 30th, 2010 at 7:34 pm
Thanks Mark, great info!!!
May 24th, 2011 at 3:35 pm
u must update your sight regularly
October 12th, 2011 at 4:25 am
Hi Mark, Thank you for taking the trouble to make available this valuable information on traveling within Cuba. I’m trying to organize a trip to Cuba and USA for my family(Mom Dad 3 kids-11:9:2) from South Africa for the period 6th April 2012to 3 May 2012.
From the information already posted on your site, I ‘m comforted that we will not experience a hurricane during our stay. Please advice of the likely weather conditions during April 2012.
We would like to take in more of Cuba’s normal outback life while still traveling comfortably for the kids sake. Please advice things not to be missed and places to stay at along the way.
We will have 10 – 14 days to spend in Cuba before moving on to the states.
Thanking you in anticipation.
Ntsoaki